Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 100.136797 110.647587 121.367793 133.094057 145.534509 158.314639 172.411331
2025-11-30 84.125367 99.833868 116.566955 135.608834 156.569524 178.836677 204.177653
2025-12-07 70.788690 90.017103 111.358342 136.529895 165.142877 196.408824 232.909256
2025-12-14 59.104543 80.518623 105.255142 135.425560 170.731068 210.275329 257.454732
2025-12-21 51.240925 74.449515 102.256634 137.187985 179.090408 226.997776 285.174137
2025-12-28 45.951925 70.821529 101.611262 141.292619 189.899860 246.424090 316.055214
2026-01-04 40.757657 66.665779 99.796797 143.556638 198.219938 262.784264 343.356049
2026-01-11 36.854653 63.739069 99.157248 146.975149 207.738610 280.474047 372.243051
2026-01-18 33.240162 60.784007 98.145931 149.655454 216.166568 296.768843 399.482510
2026-01-25 27.296431 53.812441 91.191821 144.124586 213.856666 299.652581 410.316487
2026-02-01 22.947565 48.683435 86.316681 140.939481 214.205718 305.564416 424.653212
2026-02-08 19.834813 45.099882 83.313531 140.015276 217.278412 314.738451 442.927067
2026-02-15 17.532748 42.625639 81.807576 141.134111 223.129008 327.622082 466.150654
2026-02-22 16.398632 42.027457 83.042541 146.098718 234.170374 347.253586 498.033769
2026-03-01 14.759319 40.323059 82.446850 148.364747 241.549444 362.220279 524.160237
2026-03-08 12.737507 37.623732 80.083583 147.907106 245.112929 372.204945 543.998883
2026-03-15 11.465033 36.194166 79.624818 150.163922 252.375732 387.027802 570.072333
2026-03-22 10.728380 35.753088 80.728789 154.733429 262.876601 406.168784 601.796525
2026-03-29 9.718217 34.585123 80.519488 157.254924 270.483908 421.508412 628.699485
2026-04-05 8.988130 33.922937 81.102038 160.948013 279.741988 439.071296 658.548441
2026-04-12 8.204329 33.017267 81.186704 163.827762 287.835699 455.111472 686.498685
2026-04-19 6.373141 29.216945 75.855822 157.978405 283.199408 453.912013 691.875175
2026-04-26 5.102335 26.491825 72.220356 154.606795 281.981365 457.206780 703.052008